The Indian stock market witnessed a week of varied movements, with benchmark indices oscillating amidst a mix of domestic tailwinds and global uncertainties. While the underlying sentiment remained constructive, profit-booking at higher levels was observed, leading to a consolidation phase for the Sensex and Nifty.
Table of Contents
- Key Market Indices Performance
- Sector-wise Performance
- Top Stock Market News of the Week
- FII and DII Activity – Institutional Flows
- IPOs, Listings, and Market Buzz
- Top Gainers and Losers of the Week
- Economic and Global Factors Impacting Markets
- Key Events and Market Predictions for Next Week
- Final Takeaway – Stock Market Summary and Outlook
The week of 10th June to 14th June 2025 saw the Indian stock market indices in a largely flat to marginally negative territory, following an initial period of gains. The BSE Sensex ended the week lower, extending its losing streak for a second consecutive session on Friday, 13th June. The Nifty 50, similarly, recorded a marginal loss for the week.
- Sensex Performance: The Sensex dipped 53.49 points on Monday, 10th June, to close at 82,391.72. By Friday, 13th June, it further fell by 573 points, or 0.7%, closing at 81,119.
- Nifty Performance: The Nifty 50 settled flat at 25,104.25 on Monday, 10th June. On Friday, 13th June, it ended at 24,718.60, losing 169.60 points or 0.68% from the previous session. Overall, the Nifty registered a 1.14% loss over the previous week's close.
- Intraday Movements: Early morning gains on Monday, driven by positive global cues, were curbed by profit-booking, particularly in banking, financial, and real estate sectors.
- Broader Market Resilience: Despite the muted performance of the headline indices, the broader market remained largely constructive, with a healthy number of advancing stocks over declining ones on the BSE. Mid and small-cap indices also saw continued interest, touching record peaks in some instances.
The week presented a mixed bag for different sectors in the Indian stock market.
- Top Performing Sectors:
- Defence stocks were the undisputed stars, gaining over 11% for the week. This surge was driven by the government's ambitious plans to expand defence exports and boost in-sourcing.
- Realty sector performed well, gaining 5.57%, on the back of strong offtake in the quarter.
- The CPSE index also continued its upward trajectory, largely influenced by the defence sector's robust performance.
- Other sectors that showed strong gains include Consumer Durables, Oil & Gas, Logistics, and Infrastructure.
- Underperforming Sectors:
- IT (Information Technology) and FMCG (Fast-Moving Consumer Goods) sectors were among the laggards, ending the week in negative territory.
- Private banks delivered tepid returns, contributing to the overall cautious sentiment.
Several key domestic and global news events influenced the Indian stock market this week, shaping investor sentiment and driving market movements.
- RBI Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced its Monetary Policy on 6th June 2025, ahead of this week's trading. The key decision was a 50 basis points reduction in the repo rate to 5.50%. This move aimed at achieving the 4% CPI inflation target while boosting economic growth. The decision had a calming effect, indicating supportive liquidity measures.
- Inflation Data: India's Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation for May 2024 was announced at 4.75%, showing a moderation of 8 basis points from the previous month. This continuous decline in headline CPI inflation and a sixth consecutive monthly decline in food inflation contributed positively to market sentiment, suggesting easing inflationary pressures.
- Industrial Output (IIP): Robust industrial output data for India, despite a higher base from the previous year, indicated sustained economic activity. This provided a fundamental positive for the Indian stock market, signalling economic resilience.
- Global Inflation and US Fed News: Lingering global headwinds, particularly inflationary pressures in major economies, continued to temper risk-on sentiment. Investors closely watched the US CPI report and anticipated future moves by the US Federal Reserve. Higher-than-expected inflation in the US could delay or derail rate cuts, potentially rattling global markets.
- Geopolitical Concerns: While general uncertainty around the global economic outlook has somewhat reduced, it remains elevated. Geopolitical concerns, such as the lingering Iran-Israel tensions, continued to weigh on risk appetite and contributed to a weaker Rupee against the US Dollar.
The activity of Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) is a crucial indicator of market sentiment and capital flows in the Indian stock market.
- Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Activity: FIIs displayed a mixed trend during the week. While they were net sellers on some days, there were instances of net buying as well. For the week ending 14th June 2024, FIIs were net buyers to the tune of approximately $1.41 billion. This indicates a renewed, albeit cautious, interest from foreign investors in the Indian equities, a significant shift from previous periods of outflows.
- Domestic Institutional Investor (DII) Flows: DIIs consistently remained net buyers throughout the week, providing crucial support to the Indian stock market. Their sustained inflows underscore the strong domestic tailwinds and the confidence of local investors in the market's long-term prospects.
- Impact on Market Sentiment: The strong buying by DIIs helped to offset some of the selling pressure from FIIs on certain days, contributing to the market's ability to consolidate rather than witnessing a sharp correction. The net FII inflows for the week also injected a dose of optimism, suggesting that foreign money is gradually returning, a positive sign for the overall stock market outlook India.
Recent IPOs (June 2025):
The Indian IPO market, particularly the SME segment, has been active in June 2025. Here are some recent and upcoming IPOs:
- Closed/Listed Recently:
- Jainik Power and Cables IPO (SME): Closed on June 12, 2025. Subscribed 1.01 times on Day 2. Listed on June 17, 2025.
- Sacheerome IPO (SME): Closed on June 11, 2025, with an impressive 80.98 times subscription. Listed on June 16, 2025.
- Ganga Bath Fittings IPO (SME): Listed on June 11, 2025, at a 20.4% premium over its issue price.
- Monolithisch India IPO (SME): Opened June 12, 2025, and closes June 16, 2025.
- Oswal Pumps IPO: Opened June 13, 2025, and closes June 17, 2025. On Day 1 (June 13), it was booked 30%.
- Aten Papers & Foam IPO (SME): Opened June 13, 2025, and closes June 17, 2025.
- Anticipated Major IPOs in 2025: Several large companies like Reliance Jio, HDB Financial Services, Tata Capital, Zepto, SBI Mutual Fund, PhonePe, Ather Energy, and OYO are expected to launch their IPOs in 2025, which could significantly boost market sentiment and capital raising activities.
Understanding the top performing stocks and those that lagged behind provides insights into the prevailing sector-specific trends and investor preferences in the Indian stock market today.
Top Gainers (Nifty 50 / Major Indices):
- TCS: Closed at ₹3447.10, up 0.33% on Jun 14, 2025, from its previous close, likely due to strong market activity and investor interest, as well as robust financial performance.
- Bharat Electronics (BEL): Closed at ₹394.20, up 1.76% on Jun 13, 2025, driven by strong Q4 FY25 results, reporting increased turnover and profit, and robust order book.
- ONGC: Closed at ₹251.51, up 1.46% on Jun 13, 2025, with positive analyst recommendations and its position as India's largest oil and gas exploration company.
- Tech Mahindra Ltd.: Closed at ₹1,660.50, up 0.07% on Jun 13, 2025, due to positive global tech sentiment and expectations of stable operating margins.
- Wipro: Closed at ₹260.20, up 0.38% on Jun 13, 2025,from its previous close, likely due to overall market trends and a slight rebound from recent subdued performance, despite ongoing concerns about a muted outlook and client spending in key markets.
Top Losers (Nifty 50 / Major Indices):
- Adani Ports and SEZ: Closed at ₹1,405.00, down 2.83% on Jun 13, 2025, possibly due to sector-specific consolidation or broader market caution.
- ITC Ltd.: Closed at ₹413.90, down 1.67% on Jun 13, 2025, potentially due to profit booking after recent movements or sector rotation out of FMCG.
- State Bank of India (SBI): Closed at ₹792.00, down approximately 1.74% (from previous close of ₹806) on Jun 14, 2025, likely influenced by profit booking in PSU banks or mixed credit growth data.
- IndusInd Bank: Closed at ₹814.90, down 1.60% on Jun 14, 2025, as private banking counters faced pressure.
- Hindalco Industries: Closed at ₹642.00, down 0.01% on Jun 13, 2025, experiencing a slight decline likely due to broader market sentiment or minor profit booking.
Beyond the direct stock market news, broader economic and global factors played a significant role in shaping the Indian stock market today.
- RBI Decisions and Inflation Numbers: As mentioned, the recent RBI rate cut and the moderation in India's CPI inflation provided a supportive domestic backdrop. The central bank's commitment to balancing growth with price stability was a key positive. Expectations for continued moderation in commodity prices, including crude oil, also boded well for the inflation outlook.
- Crude Oil Updates: Crude oil prices firmed up slightly during the week, ahead of anticipated developments in US-China trade negotiations. While not a major market mover, any significant volatility in crude oil prices can impact import bills and inflationary pressures in India.
- US Fed News and Global Geopolitical Factors:
- US Monetary Policy Outlook: The ongoing debate about potential interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve continued to influence global market sentiment. While the market is pricing in at least one rate cut this year, any shift in this expectation due to higher-than-expected US inflation could create turbulence.
- Trade Wars and Supply Chains: Concerns about potential escalation in trade disputes, particularly between the US and China, could lead to global supply chain disruptions and impact corporate earnings, thereby affecting investor sentiment.
- Global Growth Outlook: Multilateral agencies have revised global growth and trade projections downwards, reflecting the lingering uncertainty in the global economic landscape. This global backdrop encourages caution among investors.
- Rupee Movement: The Indian Rupee weakened against the US Dollar during the week, partly due to global geopolitical tensions, which can impact foreign investment flows and the cost of imports.
As we head into the next week, several key events and economic data releases will be crucial for investors to monitor for insights into next week's market trends.
- Upcoming Economic Data:
- While specific dates for all data releases for June 17th to 21st are yet to be confirmed, investors will be keenly watching any fresh government or RBI announcements related to inflation, industrial production, or other macroeconomic indicators that could provide further cues on the Indian economy's health.
- Earnings Season Trends: While the bulk of the Q4 earnings season has concluded, some companies may still release their results. Any significant earnings surprises or guidance from companies could influence sector-specific performance.
- Market Levels to Watch:
- For the Nifty, immediate support levels are identified around 24,600 and 24,400. Resistance levels to watch are 24,800 and the crucial psychological mark of 25,000. A sustained break above 25,200 could signal a bullish rally.
- For Bank Nifty, significant resistance is anticipated in the 56,000–56,500 range, while support is seen around 55,000–54,500.
- Investor Expectations: Investor expectations will continue to revolve around the government's policy actions and their implementation, especially concerning economic growth and sectoral reforms. The VIX (India Volatility Index) has been a positive story, falling from higher levels, indicating reduced market volatility and stable risk appetite, which is a good sign for Nifty predictions.
- Corporate Actions: The coming week will also be busy with various corporate actions, including dividend record dates for several prominent companies like BOI, HDFC AMC, L&T Finance, LTI, BFL, PNB, and Tata Steel. Bonus and split record dates for BPCL and HPCL are also expected.
- RBI MPC Minutes: The minutes of the latest RBI Monetary Policy Committee meeting are scheduled to be published on Friday, 21st June 2024. These minutes will provide further clarity on the central bank's outlook and deliberations, which can influence market sentiment.
The past week in the Indian stock market was characterised by:
- Consolidation and Volatility: Benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, largely consolidated with some intraday volatility, reflecting a cautious yet optimistic underlying sentiment.
- Domestic Resilience: Strong DII flows and a positive macroeconomic backdrop, including a moderate inflation print and robust industrial output, provided crucial support to the market.
- Sectoral Divergence: While defence and realty sectors showed robust performance, IT and FMCG lagged, highlighting a divergence in sectoral trends.
- Active Primary Market: The IPO market remained vibrant with new listings and upcoming offerings, indicating sustained investor interest in fresh opportunities.
- Global Influences: Global inflation concerns and geopolitical factors continued to exert influence, necessitating careful monitoring of international developments.
Investors are encouraged to remain informed about both domestic and global cues and maintain a cautious approach. The current market environment calls for selective stock picking and adherence to a well-diversified portfolio strategy.