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Indian Stocks: Cautious Trading Amidst Global Trade Tensions & Q1 Earnings Kick-off

Last updated on 9 Jul 2025 Wraps up in 8 minutes Read by 41

The Indian stock market on Wednesday, July 9, 2025, continued its cautious trading trend, with benchmarks opening lower due to persistent global uncertainties. Investor sentiment was primarily influenced by ongoing concerns surrounding global trade tariffs and the commencement of the Q1 earnings season. While some domestic factors provided support, the overall market remained susceptible to international headwinds.

Table of Contents

  1. Key Market Indices Performance
  2. Broader Market Mixed, Sector Rotation Continues
  3. Sector-wise Performance Highlights
  4. Top Stock Market News of the Day
  5. FII and DII Activity Today
  6. IPOs, Listings, and Market Buzz
  7. Top Gainers and Losers
  8. Economic and Global Factors
  9. What to Watch in the Coming Days
  10. Final Takeaway

Key Market Indices Performance

The Indian equity benchmarks opened lower on Wednesday, July 9, 2025, reflecting cautious investor sentiment:

  • TheBSE Sensexfell 170.42 points to 83,542.09 in early trade.
  • TheNifty 50dipped 44.35 points to 25,478.15 in early trade.

The indices remained volatile throughout the day. The India VIX, the volatility index, eased by 0.6% to approximately 12.31, indicating a slight reduction in market nervousness.

Broader Market Mixed, Sector Rotation Continues

The broader market remained mixed, with continued focus on selective buying:

  • While the main indices showed weakness, the market breadth suggested a cautious approach from investors.
  • Broader market indices reflected similar patterns to the previous day, ending flat or with slight movements, indicating continued selective stock picking.

Sector-wise Performance Highlights

Sectoral performance remained varied, with certain sectors showing strength while others faced headwinds:

Top Performing Sectors (early trade/intra-day):

  • Hindustan Unilever, Asian Paints, Maruti, and Titan were among the gainers from Sensex firms.
  • Auto and Pharma sectors showed gains.

This suggests a continued rotation of funds towards stable, consumer-oriented sectors, and those perceived as defensive amidst global uncertainties.

Declining Sectors (early trade/intra-day):

  • Larsen & Toubro, Tata Steel, ICICI Bank, HCL Tech, Infosys, and Kotak Mahindra Bank were among the laggards from Sensex firms.
  • Metal and Realty sectors declined significantly.
  • Nifty IT was slightly negative.

Top Stock Market News of the Day

Several significant domestic and global developments shaped market sentiment:

  • India-US Trade Deal Uncertainty: The July 9 deadline for the Donald Trump administration's reciprocal tariff suspension continued to be a key market driver. While India aimed for a complete withdrawal of the 26% tariff on its goods, and the US sought broader market access in sectors like agriculture and dairy, the US extended the deadline to levy its tariffs to August 1. This provided some immediate relief but kept the trade deal concerns simmering.
  • New US Tariffs on Other Nations: The US announced new tariffs, including a 35% tariff on imports from Bangladesh, effective August 1. This development had a mixed impact, boosting Indian textile stocks on potential trade diversion but adding to overall global trade tensions. Donald Trump also warned BRICS nations of a 10% tariff and announced a 50% tariff on copper, hinting at 200% on pharma imports.
  • Corporate Earnings and Business Updates:
    • Tata Consultancy Services (TCS): Set to kick off the Q1 FY26 earnings season on July 10, analysts anticipate modest growth for IT firms.
    • Vedanta Ltd: Showed fluctuating movements throughout the day, trading both higher and lower.
    • Mphasis: Shares slipped 3% on its ex-dividend date (July 9) for a final dividend of ₹57 per share.
    • Reliance Jio IPO Delayed: Sources indicated that Reliance Jio Platforms has postponed its highly anticipated IPO, initially valued at over $100 billion, to bolster revenue and expand its digital offerings. A 2025 listing is not expected.
  • Bharat Bandh on July 9, 2025: A nationwide Bharat Bandh called by 10 central trade unions and farmers' organizations for July 9, 2025, was expected to protest against government policies. Disruptions in banking, public transport, and postal services were anticipated, though schools, colleges, and government offices were likely to remain open.

FII and DII Activity Today

The movements of Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) remained critical indicators:

  • Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Activity: FIIs were net sellers on Tuesday (July 8, 2025), offloading equities worth ₹26.12 crore. They also continued to be net sellers in the index futures segment.
  • Domestic Institutional Investor (DII) Flows: DIIs continued their strong buying momentum, recording a significant net purchase of ₹1,366.82 crore in equities in the cash market on Tuesday (July 8, 2025).

Impact on Market Sentiment: The robust DII buying continued to act as a crucial counter-balance to FII activity, providing essential market support amidst global uncertainties.

IPOs, Listings, and Market Buzz

The Indian primary market witnessed continued activity and investor interest:

Key IPOs and Listings Today/Recent:

  • Travel Food Services IPO: This mainboard IPO, which opened on July 7, concluded its bidding on July 9, 2025. As of the end of Day 3 (July 9, 2025), it received an overall subscription of 0.38 times (48%). The IPO aims to raise ₹2,000 crore. Allotment is tentatively scheduled for July 10, 2025, with listing expected on July 14, 2025.
  • GLEN Industries IPO: This SME IPO opened for subscription on July 8, 2025, and will close on July 10, 2025. As of July 8, 2025 (Day 1), it was subscribed 1.54 times.
  • Cryogenic OGS Limited IPO: This SME IPO closed on July 7, 2025. The allotment was finalized on July 8, 2025, and it is set to list on July 10, 2025, on the BSE SME platform. The IPO was heavily oversubscribed, reaching 694.90 times on its final day.
  • Crizac IPO: This IPO listed on July 9, 2025, on BSE and NSE. The shares debuted with a strong premium, listing at ₹281.05 on NSE (14.71% premium) and ₹272 on BSE (11% premium) over its issue price of ₹245.

Individual Stock Movers:

  • Maruti Suzuki: Emerged as a top gainer on BSE today.
  • Tata Steel, HCL Tech, Hindalco, Tech Mahindra, Dr Reddy's, BEL: Among the top losers on Nifty 50 in early trade.

Top Gainers and Losers (Intra-day July 9, 2025)

Top Gainers (July 9, 2025)

  • Shriram Finance
    • Current Market Price: ₹668.95
    • Change: +1.81%
    • Reason: The specific reason for Shriram Finance's gain isn't explicitly provided in the data, but it suggests positive investor sentiment toward the financial sector or company-specific developments.
       
  • Bajaj Finance
    • Current Market Price: ₹927.65
    • Change: +1.40%
    • Reason: Bajaj Finance saw an uptick, indicating favorable investor sentiment toward the non-banking financial sector or positive company updates.
       
  • HUL (Hindustan Unilever)
    • Current Market Price: ₹2,392.70
    • Change: +1.28%
    • Reason: As a prominent FMCG stock, HUL likely benefited from its defensive nature, attracting investor interest in a cautious market.
       
  • Coal India
    • Current Market Price: ₹382.85
    • Change: +1.20%
    • Reason: Coal India's gain suggests positive sentiment in the energy or public sector undertaking (PSU) space, potentially driven by demand outlook or government initiatives.
       
  • UltraTech Cement
    • Current Market Price: ₹12,445.00
    • Change: +0.94%
    • Reason: This gain indicates a positive outlook for the infrastructure and construction sectors, with investors showing confidence in cement demand.

Top Losers (July 9, 2025)

Here's a list of top losers from the Indian market today:

  • HCL Tech
    • Current Market Price: ₹1,708.10
    • Change: -2.00%
    • Reason: The decline in HCL Tech shares likely reflects profit-booking or broader weakness in the IT sector ahead of the Q1 earnings season, with investors adopting a cautious stance.
       
  • Tata Steel
    • Current Market Price: ₹161.97
    • Change: -1.83%
    • Reason: Tata Steel's fall is indicative of the overall pressure on the metal sector today, possibly influenced by global trade tensions and specific news like the US imposing tariffs on copper.
       
  • Hindalco
    • Current Market Price: ₹685.60
    • Change: -1.70%
    • Reason: Similar to Tata Steel, Hindalco's decline is likely linked to the negative sentiment surrounding the metal industry, coupled with potential profit-booking after recent gains.
       
  • Apollo Hospital
    • Current Market Price: ₹7,565.00
    • Change: -1.27%
    • Reason: Despite recent positive news regarding its business restructuring, Apollo Hospital saw a decline, which could be due to profit-booking or broader market caution affecting healthcare stocks.
       
  • Tech Mahindra
    • Current Market Price: ₹1,635.40
    • Change: -1.26%
    • Reason: Tech Mahindra's loss aligns with the general subdued performance of the IT sector, as investors await the upcoming Q1 earnings results from major IT firms.

Economic and Global Factors

  • Crude Oil Updates: Global crude oil benchmark Brent crude dipped 0.20% to $70.01 a barrel, remaining relatively stable.
  • Global Geopolitical Factors: Persistent tensions and the evolving US tariff policy continue to inject caution into global markets, influencing FII flows into emerging economies like India. President Trump's warning to BRICS nations and new tariffs on copper further added to trade war jitters.
  • US Market Trends: US markets ended on a flat note on Tuesday (July 8, 2025). Asian markets showed mixed trends on Wednesday, with South Korea's Kospi and Shanghai's SSE Composite index trading higher, while Japan's Nikkei 225 index and Hong Kong's Hang Seng were quoted lower.

What to Watch in the Coming Days

The Indian stock market is entering a crucial period with several key events on the horizon:

  • Upcoming Economic Data:
    • Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June 2025: Scheduled for release on July 14, 2025. This will be a key indicator for inflation trends and future RBI policy.
  • Earnings Season Trends: The Q1 FY26 earnings season is gaining momentum and will heavily influence market direction:
    • Tata Consultancy Services (TCS): Expected to declare results on July 10, 2025. Analysts anticipate tepid growth, with revenue potentially declining due to the tapering down of the BSNL deal.
    • Wipro: Scheduled to announce Q1 FY26 results on July 17, 2025.
    • More Q1 FY26 earnings from various sectors will be released throughout July, providing crucial insights into corporate performance and economic health.
  • Investor Expectations: The market is in a "wait-and-watch" mode. Analysts suggest a "buy-on-dips" strategy as long as key support levels remain intact. FPI flows are expected to remain volatile, influenced by global trade developments (particularly the August 1 US tariff deadline) and US economic data.

Final Takeaway

The Indian stock market on July 9, 2025, continued to exhibit caution amidst persistent global trade uncertainties and the beginning of the Q1 earnings season. While benchmarks opened lower, selective buying in certain sectors provided some counterbalance.

Strong domestic institutional investor activity continued to offer crucial support. The market will closely monitor the US tariff situation (especially with the extended August 1 deadline), the insights from the US FOMC minutes, and the flow of Q1 earnings, particularly from IT majors like TCS, for cues on its next significant move. Investors are advised to remain cautious and adopt a stock-specific approach.

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